Published on September 8, 2026
Price drops earlier in the year have slowed industry output expansion. Recent data suggests production levels for August and September will align closely with 2025 volumes. Whole chickens and 8-piece cut-up chicken prices are currently steady as previous supply pressures diminish. If the industry continues to moderate production, prices are expected to remain stable throughout the month.
Key Drivers:
Slowing production allowed processors to shrink freezer inventories by 10% since January.
Lower price points have successfully stimulated enough demand to match current production levels.
Labor Day retail featuring was widespread, though the increased demand was insufficient to drive prices higher.
Outlook: While prices declined in 8 of the last 10 Septembers, current multi-year lows suggest that additional downside may be limited.
Key Drivers:
Prices for thigh meat recently hit their lowest levels in five years for this time of season
These extreme lows are now stimulating fresh demand, which is starting to tighten available spot supplies.
Outlook: Market conditions suggest prices could firm a little in September as buyers react to the recent price floor.
Key Drivers:
Demand following the conclusion of the World Cup was not strong enough to support prices despite a production slowdown.
High gasoline prices continue to constrain consumer spending, impacting traditional “football season” demand.
Processors have failed to see a price lift from the start of football season in each of the last two years.
Outlook:September wing prices are expected to continue trending lower, following the historical pattern of the last two years.
Key Drivers:
Frozen turkey production is up, with stocks growing by 141 million pounds this year—the fastest accumulation since 2020.
Supplies of smaller frozen hen turkeys remain the hardest to find, leading frustrated buyers to bid prices to new all-time highs.
Inventory growth for hen turkeys specifically has been slower than the overall turkey category.
Outlook: With Thanksgiving approaching quickly, frozen whole turkey prices are likely to remain well-supported at these elevated levels.
This comprehensive research empowers you to make informed business decisions. The information contained in this monthly market update is for informational purposes only. It represents our best estimates of commodity market conditions and is subject to change without notice. While we strive to provide accurate information, Gordon Food Service cannot guarantee the completeness or accuracy of the content. Any reliance you place on this information is strictly at your own risk.
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